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Debate for the 1.01 in Redraft


#1

Ok so my draft is this sunday and i been debating this in my head for awhile so let me get some outside takes.

Bell- This seems to be what most people are going 1.01 but this worries me, do we really think its likely he plays all 16 games? I mean he has only done that once(twice if u count last year) has been getting the most carries for years, and i wouldnt be surprized if Pitt runs the wheels off him with the contract drama I have a feeling its highly likely he doesnt play 16 this year

Gurley-This is the other top pick for most people which concerns me, the previous Rb1 hasnt repeated as Rb1 in the last 10 years do we really think gurley is the one to do it? He is obviously going to regress in TDs but its also completely likely the rams as a whole regress last season was a real anomaly this is why im concerned here

D.J.- I dont understand how the RB1 in 2016 isnt going higher then Gurley given we basically know Gurley isnt going to finish as RB1, Coming off a freak Wrist Injury to me doesnt hurt him at all its not like its lower body the knock is his offense sure but he is still the #2 passing option when Bell is prob 3(with JuJus rise) and gurley going to regress it seems likely DJ finishes higher then both

Zeke-The more i debate this the more im thinking zeke at 1.01, looks Like Cowboys dodged a bullet with the OL injurys so thats good (w/o the O-Line this might not even be considered). I think we can Assume Zeke is going to be playing with a Chip on his shoulder coming back from the suspension he was rock solid when avail last year finished 2016 2nd. Here is where i think he gains more value though everyone just thinks zeke isnt a PPR back b/c of reception totals its not like he cant catch though 2016 32/40,2017 26/38 so he went up in targets on a per game basis. It seems like a perfect breakout situation with Dez and Witten Targets Gone someone has to get those I think Hurns/Gallup will eat some of those but i also think zeke will be eating some of them aswell.

So when thinking of those points who would you go with? is there anything im overlooking that could push someone over?


#2

You cant start driving yourself crazy about predicting injuries. Bell if healthy will be a top tier RB, and as if right now, hes healthy and just came off a 16 game season. He has been a beast for years and still will be this year.
Hes got the biggest workload on (in my very possibly wrong opinion) the best offense out of those four players.

If he’s healthy, you will not regret this pick at all


#3

ya i agree with that and anyone can get injured also. Bell is a special case imo he has been over 400 touches for quite awhile and thats quite alot. i mean tech he only played 15 games last year and he did have a groin injury during the playoffs, So 2013 foot(lisfranc),2014 Knee(MCL Sprain),2015 Knee(MCL Tear),2017 Groin(Hernia) so 1 healthy year and all lower body injurys all while having the highest workload this is the definition of a risk. I dont think you can predict all injuries sure some are freak injuries but with all this info and given the fact that even when healthy that doesnt mean he is the RB1 Gurley beat him last year and DJ the year before that both healthy years for Bell.