Interest in Carson is at a season high after 3 solid performances and workhorse numbers of touches. I see some downside in a return of Penny to split some carries, the loss of Dissly adding some pressure to the box, and a less than great schedule for the rest of fantasy regular season for RBs.
I have 3 offers on the table:
A - Mixon + D. Adams for Carson + Mike Williams. I have asked them to include J. Crowder and they are considering it (I would drop Lazard or Hardman).
Analysis: This is trading actual production for two theoretical turnarounds. Mixon is a drop off from RB10 to RB35, but a 2nd round ADP with decent upcoming schedule and hope for a turnaround with A.J. Green returning to reduce pressure on the box. Adams may eventually realize his potential for a RB1-5 for the rest of the season (but may also be out for another week or two). Crowder has 26 targets in two games with Darnold at QB.
B - Gurley + Evans for Carson + T. Boyd
Analysis: Gurley is the RB18 with Brown as a handcuff, providing me a better RB option and higher ADP than Mixon (though Henderson is a wild card). Evans is the WR7 (RD3 ADP), though is on a bye and I see greater upside for Adams (RD1 ADP), who comes at a lesser cost (M. Williams vs T. Boyd - note that I see T. Boyd improving once A.J. Green returns due to top CB shadowing Green. On the downside, I don’t really want to start two Bengals).
C - T. Coleman + G. Tate for Carson
Analysis: Despite the lower draft capital for each, this feels like the safest trade with Coleman getting the most touches on the ground and in the air in the #1 RB rushing team in the NFL and past his bye (though OL and FB injuries and splitting carries may limit breakout potential). Tate had a strong second game back and should benefit from taking most of Shepard’s touches in the slot. Both feel like solid week-to-week contributors, but without the big RB/WR1 week potential. I may be able to leverage the other trades into the inclusion of Kyler Murray (who is on their bench) for one of my WRs. That said, I don’t like Kyler’s schedule for 4 of the next 6 weeks (2 vs SF, 1 vs NO, and a bye).
I am 1-5, hurting from the QB injury impact to my RD1/2 picks, and am in need of some WR upside. My roster is as follows:
QB - Goff (who I like for the next 2 games)
RB - Kamara, Carson, M. Sanders, M. Brown, C. Edmonds, A. Mattison
WR - Juju (whose schedule I like after the bye, even with Rudolph at QB), T. Boyd, M. Williams, P. Dorsett, M. Hardman, A. Lazard
TE - M. Andrews (I just dropped Dissly)
I am going to accept one of these trades. Which one is it?