Does anyone do their own personal projections?

I was wondering if anyone has advice on how to do personal fantasy projections. How would I project a rookie? For example if I wanted to project out Murray’s stats on the cardinals how would I go about doing that without totally guessing?

You have to just make assumptions based on key drivers. For a QB, that’s how many pass attempts you’ll think he makes, the average catch rate on the team, and then the TD rate.

I don’t spend too much time on projections cause its all a crapshoot anyway. I use it as a simple sanity check. For QBs specifically, I like to project out their key skilled positions to see how many yards / TDs i think they can put up, then compare that across the board to see if its reasonable.

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