Hi, everybody! My rookie draft has started and I have a trade on the table I’m trying to judge and potentially counter. For context, this is a 10-team dynasty league that starts 1 QB, 2 RBs, 2 WRs, 1 TE, 2 FLEXes, 1 K, and 1 DST. We have 14 bench spots, three IR spots, and four taxi squad spots, as well. Our rookie draft is four rounds long. Here is my roster:
Starting Lineup (8/10):
QB: Deshaun Watson
RB1: Aaron Jones
RB2: Austin Ekeler
WR1: Julio Jones
WR2: DeAndre Hopkins
TE: Jared Cook
FLEX1: Mark Ingram
FLEX2: Brandin Cooks
- QBs: Matt Ryan, Cam Newton
- RBs: Tevin Coleman, Raheem Mostert, Justin Jackson, Chris Thompson
- WRs: Marvin Jones, Anthony Miller, Dede Westbrook, Phillip Dorsett
- TEs: Blake Jarwin, Hayden Hurst
Taxi Squad (4/4):
- Miles Boykin
- Allen Lazard
- Chris Herndon (I expect Sleeper to force me to move him to my bench soon)
- Jace Sternberger
2020 Draft Picks: 1.08, 1.10, 3.08, 4.01, 4.08
Future Draft Picks: All my own picks in both 2021 and 2022
So far, the first three players gone have been (in order): Clyde Edwards-Helaire, Jonathan Taylor, and Jerry Jeudy. I’ve reached out to the managers at 1.04, 1.05, and 1.06 to see if there’s any interest in trading down to either one of my 1.08 or 1.10 spots. I have an eye on either CeeDee Lamb or J.K. Dobbins, and was hoping to get there.
The owner at 1.04 hasn’t responded yet (he’s at work, I believe). The owner at 1.06 said he wanted to see who was still left on the clock before making a decision. The owner at 1.05 was very open to trading down to the 1.08, at the cost of my moving down a round in next year’s draft. In other words, I would send the 1.08 and my 2021 first round pick to him for his 1.05 and his 2021 second round pick.
Is this kind of trade a fair value for me? And if not, what is? How much should I be willing to give up? Or maybe more importantly, are Lamb and Dobbins worth making that trade up for at all? Or should I just let two guys fall to me at the 1.08 and 1.10 (I’m hoping for at least one of Justin Jefferson and Jalen Reagor, if not both)?
If you guys got this far, thanks for reading. Any help would be greatly appreciated. Thanks!
TL;DR: I want one of either CeeDee Lamb or J.K. Dobbins in my rookie draft and I think I need to trade up for them. Is it worth moving back from the first round to second round next year to add one of those two guys? And if not, how much should I be willing to give up?