I’ll explain my thinking. As of right now Miller starts for the Texans at RB which has proven fruitful and Foreman coming of the Achilles isn’t major threat as no one has ever come back from that injury playing RB - at worst he may cede some early down work but that’s it.
Shepard as a receiver is better than Moncrief i agree but this year their situations are different and i’d rather have the possible WR2 for the Steelers (Washington is a sleeper but he’s so raw i think he needs another year IMO) than the WR2 or 4th best option for the Giants with Eli throwing the ball - He is behind Tate, Barkley and Engram IMO.
The pick swap if the 2020 pick isn’t the top 3 i’m not that interested, it’s way too far ahead and we have no idea exactly who is coming out, their condition at the time or where they may go so it’s too much of a lottery unless it’s top 3. With the 1.10 this year there are so many WRs getting buzz and a handful of solid upside RBs, no Barkley’s but they have talent and even Murray someone could fall to 1.10 and with the three first rounders be really set up.
Moncrief for this year could and should be better than Shepard, i also think with 1.01 and 1.05 you can draft better WRs than both of them and likely in better positions. The RB class isn’t strong so unless the Texans make a splash there i don’t like losing the starting depth - especially with Mack (injury risks), Lindsey (injury and competition risks) as my 2 and 3.
Getting Samuel for cheap to insure Conner to me is the play and then using the draft to stock WR talent means Moncrief could be a one year patch in a good offense. May even be able to get Murray as well if the RBs are of no interest and build a really solid roster behind the current RBs and Evans and Juju + rookie talent like Harry or Metcalf etc.