How much do you guys consider the game-script and results of games played between two teams in previous seasons? (eg. division rivals, etc.) How much weight do you give these games? And why?
Early in the season I’ll rely on them. By around week 6-7 we’ve got enough data to see trends and how new players, coaches, etc affect the teams. For example, if Sarkisian doesn’t give Freeman more touches and this becomes a trend, I’ll probably be cursing his name for eternity.