Unless the NFL moves the game, weather conditions for the game could include 40 mph winds and up to 5 inches of rain that day. Long and intermediate passing could be impossible. I’ve been watching the forums all week and no one, absolutely no one, has been talked about more than Conner.
Don’t get wrong, I love Conner’s potential in this offense but the kid is getting a raw deal here. He’s going to face 8/9-man fronts in the absence of any passing threat. I’m forecasting 40-60 yards + 50% chance of a TD if the weather is as bad as they expect. While it’s true he could see 25+ carries because of conditions, he’ll be running those into concrete walls on a sloppy field. The elevated injury risk is real. I own Conner in both my leagues and I fear tragedy more than I expect salvation.
Don’t be surprised if this game is under 20 points combined (I expect under 15 points combined) and don’t expect more than an RB25 finish. He’s an RB3 and no more.
For the record, I’m benching him in one league (for Burkhead in the flex spot) and I’m rolling with him in my flex in the other, just in case I’m wrong. But in the latter, Ajayi has already gotten me 60 yards, 2 TDs and a 2pt conversion so I can afford the risk.
If you think I’m dead wrong here, cool. I’m all ears and would love to hear your countervailing theories.