1.) Wilkins was a thing the majority of last year. On the season, JT received ~56% of the RB carries and only ~51% of all RB opportunities… JT also had 39 receptions, which isn’t super impressive, but is nothing to sneeze at in PPR… Obviously Hines gets more passing work but not “all” of it. I expect JT’s role to expand this year as a whole. Obviously I’m not expecting the workload or fantasy production he had towards the end of the year (he’d be a top 3 or 4 pick if that were the case), but 60% of the total opportunities averaged out across the entire season is well within reason… Also, he’s been a healthy scratch all preseason. I personally don’t think they’d treat him like the golden goose if he was set to just be a role-player alongside Mack and Hines… Again, I expect those guys to have roles… but I expect JT to be the clear and obviously lead back.
2.) JT could’ve scored 45 less fantasy points (full PPR) last year and still finished as an RB1… Even if you include injured players and their FPPG averages, he still makes the RB1 list ahead of guys like Mixon, Ekeler, Carson, Davis, etc… Saying he can’t be an RB1 this year just seems like a losing bet IMO.
3.) I’m not seeing this “Murderer’s Row of top Run Ds” in the first half…
LAR, BAL, SF = Tough
MIA = Middle of the pack
SEA, TEN(x2), HOU = cake
The second half seems like more of the same with a couple rough matchups mixed up with some cakewalks… Not a bad schedule as a whole (based on Def projections which are never totally accurate mind you).
I guess we’ll just have to talk in a few weeks because obviously we have entirely different outlooks on certain players.