Go for the value man. Feels like there are a lot of RBs this year who are out of favor which you can pick up later and put in your lineup to do just fine (i.e. miller, anderson, lewis). If you have the chance to get 2 of OBJ/Hopkins/Julio, those are guys that can offer you the floor of an RB in the WR position and you can take a swing on some rookie RBs later on as well. If you hit on those RBs, you’re in a great position to win. Personally would rank it OBJ first, then pick whichever you like between Hopkins/Julio. In a redraft, I’d be fine with Julio cause he has yet to have a down season (If 1400+ yards is a down season, give that to me cause I’ll take it every time) whereas Hopkins has shown he has that downside. Granted everything thinks Watson is a god, if he regresses which isn’t out of the question given how horrible Houston’s line is (remember they traded away their best guy last year to Seattle), then Julio has a great floor and chance to rebound from last year. Not to mention’s Watson’s TD ratio last year is completely unprecedented and very unlikely he maintains it so I don’t put as much weight into the TDs of Hopkins vs JJ. Atlanta was horrible last year and it also took them 2 years before clicking with Shanohan so there’s a chance that happens this year.
Don’t forget Melvin gordon isn’t really the safest floor either. He’s a pretty boom bust RB so given the choice between him and Hop/JJ, I’ll take Hop/JJ with the higher upside all day and take a later value RB + a rookie to fill the gap. Not to mention Gordon also has injury history with his foot, which is something I’m pretty wary of as an RB.