Royce Freeman vs Sammy Watkins at Flex

I’ve got Demarius Thomas, Chris Hogan, John Brown, and Sammy Watkins at WR, with Baldwin injured. Also got Royce Freeman on my bench currently. Was thinking about starting Hogan and Brown as my two receivers this week and benching DT due to a tough matchup. Can’t decide on the flex play though with Watkins or Freeman. Feel like Watkins has a much higher ceiling, but the floor seems safer with Freeman.