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Thursday Night game is over - What factors do you use to decide if you go 'chalk' or go 'upside' plays


#1

At what point do you guys decide to play upside potential over rankings if you are down in a match up?

I had Ertz get me 10 but I went against Ajayi and Eagles D so that was roughly 30 points so I am down 20 after Thursday night ended.

Do I try to go ‘chalk’ with the rest of my lineup or do I need to go ‘upside’? My opponent has some potential huge plays left this week in Rodgers, A Brown (sans Bell) and Chris Hogan.

Also, since he has Brown, should I go Big Ben at QB to sort of counteract Brown’s scoring, or should I roll with Luck in the dome?

My Line Up (first name listed is starting)

QB-Big Ben /Luck
RB-Gurley
RB-R Freeman
WR-D Baldwin
WR-G Tate
TE-Ertz (10pts) roughly
FLEX-James Conner (I also have Burkhead, Hyde, K Cole that I could consider here)
D-Denver
K- Butker

His Line Up

QB-A Rodgers
RB-B Powell
RB-Jay Ajayi (20 pt)
WR-Hogan
WR-A. Brown
TE-Doyle
FLEX-Crabtree
D-Eagles (10 pt)
K-Tucker

I am projected down 10, but I don’t trust yahoo’s projections at all.