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Thursday Night game is over - What factors do you use to decide if you go 'chalk' or go 'upside' plays


At what point do you guys decide to play upside potential over rankings if you are down in a match up?

I had Ertz get me 10 but I went against Ajayi and Eagles D so that was roughly 30 points so I am down 20 after Thursday night ended.

Do I try to go ‘chalk’ with the rest of my lineup or do I need to go ‘upside’? My opponent has some potential huge plays left this week in Rodgers, A Brown (sans Bell) and Chris Hogan.

Also, since he has Brown, should I go Big Ben at QB to sort of counteract Brown’s scoring, or should I roll with Luck in the dome?

My Line Up (first name listed is starting)

QB-Big Ben /Luck
RB-R Freeman
WR-D Baldwin
WR-G Tate
TE-Ertz (10pts) roughly
FLEX-James Conner (I also have Burkhead, Hyde, K Cole that I could consider here)
K- Butker

His Line Up

QB-A Rodgers
RB-B Powell
RB-Jay Ajayi (20 pt)
WR-A. Brown
D-Eagles (10 pt)

I am projected down 10, but I don’t trust yahoo’s projections at all.