garappolo, luck, watson, wilson, and brady. i might switch wilson for brees.
garappolo should be easy to explain. hasnt actually shown us he can, team may not support it… blah blah blah. question marks is the big thing here.
luck, its just a health thing. he could spend the first 6 weeks just shaking rust off and being worked back in. might end strong start slow.
Watson, i think there is WAY too much hype for him. can he be prolific? hell yeah. will he be all year long? hell no. consistency is what i need to see first before i believe he is the next best thing.
wilson may MAKE the top 12 just because of my reason he may not, crappy team, crappy o line, D is in shambles. so its all on him. can he still do it without leaning on his D? TBD but i think he can, just may not be as likely.
finally, brady. bring the hate if you want, but he is old, and doesnt exactly have a great WR core. their acquisition of RBs the last few years should tell you what they are doing. they are prepping for him leaving. for his decline. and what brady says about playing till 45 or not, age doesnt hold off just because you have a handful of rings and your name is tom brady. i think this is the decline year. the payton manning effect if you will.
and the substitute brees is something similar to wilson, on the reverse. he HAS a good team. good run game, good D, great WRs… he may just not have to do as much this year.