Tough matchup (projected tie): play safe or look for upside?

Tough matchup, with almost tie projections, but more upside on his side (see screenshots).

Notable risks on my side with Bell (not 100%; no Darnold, si stack boxes all night)…

Should I play safe to protect my theoretical advance, or add upside (flex Hardmann for instance) ?

Only other viable start is Singletary.

(I’m the team on the left)

Early in yr projections are less reliable than later. If I’m within 10 points of my opponent in the projections, I’m standing with the secure play and let my opponent get crazy. Let somebody else try to be the genius an out guess the experts. I’ll be dull and keep on winning.

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Look for upside.