Did you read my comment above? I didn’t say Diggs was incredibly safe. But just assessing the risk of both diggs and Hill, I am more comfortable with what diggs offers and the options to make optimal start/sit decisions.
Diggs is not someone you’re going to go ahead and plug and play every week because his down weeks are much easier to predict. If he shows up on injury report at any point during the week.
Like I said, it’s a very close comparison. And there are some changes to KC that gives me slight pause to Hill, mainly the change at QB. So both have risks. I am just outlining one of the ways for you to mitigate the risk of Diggs. When I am looking at it, I am including his playoff performances in his games as healthy, which I think is fair cause it expands on the sample size for what you can expect this year. I don’t think you’re looking at it the right way.
19 weeks total, he was out for 2 weeks (so 2 of the weeks you listed as bust where he didn’t play), so 17 game sample size. You can’t count the 2 weeks cause if he’s out, you obviously don’t start him for 0 points. You start someone else. From there, he was Questionable but played for I think a quarter or 2 vs cleveland week 8. The first week back after missing 2 games with a Groin injury. That was a bust week. And history has shown (going back to his rookie season), when is not healthy, he does not perform. Just sit him. And last time I looked, there were 2-3 other instances where he showed up on the injury report leading up to the game but then ended up starting. Those were also weeks where he busted. So that is 5-6 games where you just simply make the decision to bench him. And although it’s not ideal, you want your players to be healthy, I actually don’t mind having someone who gives me that much predictability because in the weeks he was healthy, the man went off.
I would probably also remove week 17 for comparison purposes because I don’t think Tyreek hill played that full game so that’s not a fair comparison.
And then adding on the playoff games for comparison where Diggs was a stud, I think that paints a more fitting picture. Looking at those games, Diggs was like the WR5.
Again, I’m not saying Hill is the wrong answer or Diggs is absolutely the way you should go. But just giving some perspective and showing you there’s a different way to think about this rather than just looking at pure points scored over a season. I like to try and focus on the predictability on a PPG basis that player offers me because if I know I can sit him in a given week, I can just find point production elsewhere.