Week 8/ Start Sit help

I’m in a 2QB Full PPR League.

I’m having difficulty in choosing my lineup this week. My opponent is #1 in our league (6-1). i’m in 3rd place (4-3) with 5 others neck and neck with me. Obviously, I need a win. I’m slightly projected ahead of him by 1.5pts. This is his starters.

QBs: Winston and D. Carr.
Rbs: Cook and Conner
WRs: Diggs and Samuel
TE: J. Graham
Flex: D. Adams
D/ST: Patriots

He has L. Jackson, Cooper, M. Andrews, and Ingram on bye.

My team:
QBs: J. Allen, Brisset. No help needed on these two.
RBs: Ekeler, Chubb, Edmonds
WRs: Hopkins, Lockett, R. Woods
TE: Ertz
D/ST: Rams

Chubb is in my flex. Woods and Jacobs on the bench. I’m worried about Chubb’s match up with the Patriots, obviously. Woods has a juicy match up with the Bengals and Jacobs has a “better” match up against Houston than Edmonds has against NO. Who should I start?