Eddie Lacy has a decent YPC and has proven he can catch the ball out of the backfield, but what does he have to do to live up to the 4th round value?
Well first of all, I find most all-human mock drafts have him going in the 5th with the likes of CJ Anderson and Doug Martin. When the Seahawks had Lynch and Rawls the both of them averaged about 120 carries each. However, most of that was due to injury issues. I figure a good base for Lacy is 150 carries and 7-9 TDs due to his being the goal line back. This would put him around 750-800 yds.
There is also an argument to be made about Russel Wilson getting a lot fewer carries of his own, finally being healthy enough to get the passing game going, and Lacy having lost a significant amount of weight. There is also the chance that Lacy gets Lynch numbers (over 200 touches), and that would be over 1000 yds with a good TD count upside.
My opinion is that Lacy’s floor is a mid-range RB2 with the very real chance at RB1 numbers. I think Lacy just has to play the way he has been playing and the game script will decide kind of value he will be. I am going to target Lacy this year. I am interested to see what ya’ll think.