Where should I draft?

I’ve got first choice of draft position in a 12 man half ppr

Pick #3 guarantees you get 1 of the elite rbs out of Barkley, McCaffrey and Kamara. If for whatever reason 1 of those 3 is unpalatable to you, go pick 2. If you believe that Zeke will be back before the season or at least won’t miss more than a couple of games, then pick 4 would be the play. I think one of those 3 picks is the answer.

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I believe Zeke will rollout week 1