I expect regression from Ertz. A lot of that production came because Alshon was hurt, Agholor was not himself, there was no deep threat because Torrey Smith had moved on and Mike Wallace got hurt, and there was no stability at RB (Sproles and Clement both hurt, Ajayi out by week 4 or 5; they were down to Smallwood and Josh Adams). Plus, another year in the Eagles offense means that Goedert is going to get his. Think about this; When Ertz was drafted in 2013, Brent Celek was the same age that Ertz was when the Eagles drafted Goedert. In other words, 2018 might’ve been the peak for Ertz.
Conventional wisdom would tell you to go with OBJ. And that’s probably what you should end up doing.
But I think you should consider tihs:
OBJ is volatile, and so is Baker (and now it’s looking like Freddie Kitchens is, too). Sure, all that talent will no doubt have their moments, but that locker room could be a landmine by game 8. Plus, OBJ misses games every year. He’s got the highest ceiling of the three, but for how long will the talent override the knuckleheadedness in that locker room?
Speaking of knucklheads, that’s what you’ve got in Lev Bell, but he’s not as big a diva as OBJ. They both have chips on their shoulders, and that’s always good for fantasy, but Lev stays healthier, is guaranteed opportunity and I think Darnold takes a step forward this year and keeps defenses honest and bell.
So I might actually hold my nose and keep Lev. I know he’s a Jet, but something about that Browns situation gives me pause…