I take Julio, but this comment made it much closer for me than I initially thought.
Without this, my general thought is that Allen was great but inconsistent as hell with Rivers which made him hard to play every week. I think he’s taking a QB downgrade this year. He’s still very talented but if he was already inconsistent I don’t see that getting better now. The statistics would say that you’re very unlikely to land a player of Julio’s caliber. If you’re going RB, and your pick is more like a 4th than a 9th that’s where things actually start to get close. The big question is what RB can you get at the 9th realistically? If we say conservatively that 3 of the people in front of you take an RB and the other 5 take QBs and WRs, who’s left?
Overall breakdown: Julio is better than Keenan and has a stable productive QB. It feels like he has at least 2 good years left. Keenan is young and talented but inconsistent and quite frankly frustrating to own (i play standard, if this is ppr he’s probably not as frustrating). I’m taking one of the all time great receivers in the league in Julio over Keenan and the pick.